Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002550 0.002717 0.002897 0.003105 0.003342 0.003605 0.003921
2024-12-29 0.002319 0.002551 0.002815 0.003143 0.003547 0.004037 0.004695
2025-01-05 0.002116 0.002376 0.002684 0.003085 0.003608 0.004291 0.005296
2025-01-12 0.001944 0.002214 0.002542 0.002984 0.003586 0.004417 0.005738
2025-01-19 0.001845 0.002129 0.002482 0.002974 0.003673 0.004695 0.006468
2025-01-26 0.001694 0.001965 0.002307 0.002789 0.003488 0.004538 0.006439
2025-02-02 0.001642 0.001923 0.002286 0.002811 0.003601 0.004851 0.007319
2025-02-09 0.001618 0.001916 0.002309 0.002894 0.003812 0.005362 0.008789
2025-02-16 0.001574 0.001878 0.002286 0.002907 0.003913 0.005700 0.010062
2025-02-23 0.001562 0.001883 0.002321 0.003009 0.004172 0.006394 0.012722
2025-03-02 0.001508 0.001827 0.002266 0.002965 0.004174 0.006572 0.014038
2025-03-09 0.001450 0.001762 0.002195 0.002890 0.004110 0.006597 0.014864
2025-03-16 0.001426 0.001746 0.002198 0.002942 0.004300 0.007272 0.019323
2025-03-23 0.001402 0.001729 0.002199 0.002991 0.004495 0.008051 0.026628
2025-03-30 0.001355 0.001678 0.002145 0.002943 0.004489 0.008305 0.031895
2025-04-06 0.001301 0.001614 0.002070 0.002851 0.004383 0.008249 0.034595
2025-04-13 0.001271 0.001584 0.002043 0.002842 0.004450 0.008735 0.047210
2025-04-20 0.001205 0.001499 0.001928 0.002671 0.004150 0.008001 0.038495
2025-04-27 0.001186 0.001483 0.001921 0.002692 0.004270 0.008650 0.059257
2025-05-04 0.001182 0.001487 0.001945 0.002768 0.004527 0.009915 0.177869
2025-05-11 0.001163 0.001470 0.001934 0.002780 0.004637 0.010720 1.918177
2025-05-18 0.001162 0.001479 0.001965 0.002874 0.004965 0.012746 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001135 0.001447 0.001928 0.002834 0.004945 0.013112 NaN